Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1028 | 74% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1008 | 1256 | 19% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1333 | 1027 | 85% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1144 | 51% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1115 | 38% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1051 | 43% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1169 | 34% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 1142 | 30% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 927 | 46% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1099.1 vs 1090.6 has a 51.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).