Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1238 | 1065 | 73% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1030 | 1225 | 25% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1231 | 1027 | 76% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1108 | 1143 | 45% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1042 | 49% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 1048 | 42% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1171 | 34% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1208 | 26% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 885 | 52% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1109.3 vs 1059.3 has a 57.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).