Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 1031 | 73% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1264 | 1138 | 67% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1213 | 26% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1252 | 1025 | 79% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1144 | 45% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1004 | 68% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1131 | 1004 | 68% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1072 | 44% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1048 | 60% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1004 | 79% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1171 | 34% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 885 | 1190 | 15% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 934 | 45% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1108.5 vs 1063.8 has a 56.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).