Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1327 | 1063 | 82% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
1026 | 1160 | 32% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
1307 | 1040 | 82% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
1095 | 1145 | 43% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
1144 | 1095 | 57% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
1144 | 1095 | 57% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
1045 | 1064 | 47% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
925 | 1095 | 27% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
1108 | 1050 | 58% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1050 | 986 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
991 | 1176 | 26% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
900 | 977 | 39% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1098.4 vs 1068.8 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).