ASL Scenario Archive

Getting Your Bell Rung

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 20

Defender wins (German): 18

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1037	1032	51%	2024-06-25	Won
1015	904	65%	2023-12-10	Won
1066	909	71%	2023-03-19	Won
1125	991	68%	2022-04-16	Won
1035	1018	52%	2022-04-02	Won
943	941	50%	2022-03-29	Won
1018	780	80%	2021-10-15	Won
989	1098	35%	2020-07-23	Lost
916	1041	33%	2020-05-16	Lost
916	993	39%	2020-05-15	Lost
1176	1176	50%	2020-03-20	Won
875	908	45%	2019-06-30	Lost
1123	907	78%	2018-05-05	Won
958	1102	30%	2017-11-11	Lost
1045	1146	36%	2017-05-20	Lost
891	910	47%	2016-06-13	Won
1176	896	83%	2016-03-13	Won
1088	1011	61%	2015-11-13	Lost
1140	1383	20%	2015-11-13	Lost
999	1071	40%	2015-11-06	Lost
1111	1088	53%	2015-10-09	Lost
1192	1088	65%	2015-06-16	Won
1235	1026	77%	2015-03-30	Won
1056	1065	49%	2013-11-09	Won
982	1101	34%	2013-07-18	Lost
1045	1098	42%	2013-07-15	Lost
1055	1107	43%	2013-07-12	Lost
970	1098	32%	2013-06-16	Won
1117	1423	15%	2013-06-16	Tied
1423	1119	85%	2013-06-13	Lost
823	891	40%	2013-05-19	Won
1170	1286	34%	2013-03-22	Won
1172	1252	39%	2013-02-24	Lost
932	1252	14%	2013-01-11	Won
1065	1031	55%	2012-11-15	Won
1086	1223	31%	2012-10-01	Lost
733	1140	9%	2012-08-06	Lost
1018	1084	41%		Lost
1096	1084	52%		Won

Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1068.5 has a 46.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).