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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
956 | 1429 | 6% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
1429 | 982 | 93% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
981 | 1040 | 42% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-06-10 | Won |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2021-01-29 | Won |
1429 | 1302 | 68% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
1429 | 1217 | 77% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
881 | 950 | 40% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1147.4 vs 1118.8 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).