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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1431 | 982 | 93% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 961 | 1086 | 33% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-06-10 | Won |
| 1020 | 985 | 55% | 2021-01-29 | Won |
| 1431 | 1302 | 68% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1217 | 77% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 764 | 82% | 2018-12-09 | Lost |
| 878 | 764 | 66% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1152 | 57% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1147.9 vs 1094.3 has a 57.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).