Bullseye!!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (7 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2022-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1134 | 37% | 2014-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1044 | 63% | 2014-06-11 | | Won |
| 1085 | 1252 | 28% | 2013-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2013-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1141 | 968 | 73% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1083.7 vs 1085.6 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).