The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1158 | 31% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1186 | 34% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 976 | 735 | 80% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1029 | 85% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 882 | 85% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 1028 | 34% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 985 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1107 | 36% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 958 | 1057 | 36% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1069 | 57% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1023.8 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).