The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1238 | 21% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1176 | 38% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 989 | 1112 | 33% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1017 | 79% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1054 | 920 | 68% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 972 | 1264 | 16% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1117 | 965 | 71% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 938 | 46% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 985 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1008 | 1120 | 34% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 1059 | 36% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1051 | 51% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1042.9 has a 48.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).