The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1226 | 22% | 2025-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-05-15 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2024-01-10 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2023-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-08-28 | | Won |
| 1134 | 907 | 79% | 2021-04-11 | | Won |
| 972 | 1242 | 17% | 2019-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-02-28 | | Lost |
| 913 | 1000 | 38% | 2013-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-07-27 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2013-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-01-06 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1109 | 1052 | 58% | 2012-09-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1031 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).