The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1189 | 28% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1218 | 29% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 978 | 810 | 72% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1108 | 40% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1029 | 83% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1187 | 885 | 85% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 966 | 63% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 983 | 40% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 985 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 1110 | 36% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 958 | 1058 | 36% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058.1 vs 1032.8 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).