The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1185 | 28% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1139 | 40% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1109 | 37% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1030 | 85% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 965 | 64% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 983 | 40% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1040 | 985 | 58% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1106 | 36% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 958 | 1057 | 36% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1052 | 50% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1018.3 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).