Mius Mischief
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (16 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-07-18 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2018-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-11-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2017-08-05 | | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1143 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1071 | 35% | 2013-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2013-03-23 | | Won |
| 940 | 987 | 43% | 2013-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2013-02-28 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-11-21 | | Won |
| 995 | 1343 | 12% | 2012-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1147 | 32% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1057.3 has a 48.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).