Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (25 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 51
Defender wins (Hungarian): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1061 | 55% | 2025-10-06 | Won |
| 976 | 1100 | 33% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1113 | 47% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 934 | 52% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1018 | 56% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 903 | 990 | 38% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2019-02-06 | Won |
| 1047 | 1226 | 26% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1123 | 54% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 967 | 1028 | 41% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 831 | 986 | 29% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1094 | 941 | 71% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 965 | 64% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1035 | 62% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1080 | 70% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 934 | 64% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 913 | 927 | 48% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1094 | 44% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 889 | 1036 | 30% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1035.4 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).