Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (29 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 36
Defender wins (Hungarian): 57
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 0
Defender wins (Hungarian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1129 | 26% | 2026-05-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 891 | 61% | 2026-05-01 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 955 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Won |
| 973 | 1088 | 34% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1113 | 40% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1001 | 42% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 902 | 987 | 38% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 987 | 69% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1066 | 60% | 2019-02-06 | Won |
| 1217 | 1226 | 49% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1003 | 70% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 962 | 1028 | 41% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 820 | 985 | 28% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1168 | 37% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1129 | 965 | 72% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 854 | 1038 | 26% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1079 | 70% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1001 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 913 | 885 | 54% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 1091 | 33% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 866 | 1031 | 28% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 985 | 1002 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1004.6 vs 1037.4 has a 45.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).