Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (29 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 36
Defender wins (Hungarian): 57
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 0
Defender wins (Hungarian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1147 | 24% | 2026-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 891 | 73% | 2026-05-01 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2026-03-08 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2025-12-17 | A | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-01-02 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-23 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-09-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2020-11-18 | | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2020-11-18 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1025 | 65% | 2016-07-08 | | Won |
| 962 | 1028 | 41% | 2015-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2015-01-10 | | Won |
| 820 | 985 | 28% | 2014-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-04-19 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1079 | 70% | 2013-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | | Won |
| 913 | 966 | 42% | 2013-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-02-18 | | Won |
| 841 | 1031 | 25% | 2013-02-07 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016.2 vs 1023.2 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).