The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (49 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 71
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 78
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2025-12-17 | A | Lost |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2025-06-15 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1006 | 46% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 960 | 1058 | 36% | 2025-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1000 | 73% | 2025-04-28 | | Lost |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2025-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1202 | 32% | 2024-07-15 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1088 | 25% | 2024-03-15 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1000 | 84% | 2024-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2024-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2023-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1179 | 948 | 79% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2021-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 728 | 96% | 2021-07-19 | | Won |
| 1289 | 728 | 96% | 2021-07-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2021-06-21 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1136 | 25% | 2021-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2021-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1149 | 40% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1127 | 39% | 2020-04-29 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1150 | 21% | 2020-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-02-20 | | Won |
| 992 | 925 | 60% | 2018-12-10 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1145 | 36% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-03-22 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-09-05 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2014-10-09 | | Won |
| 962 | 1005 | 44% | 2014-09-25 | | Lost |
| 991 | 917 | 60% | 2014-05-03 | | Won |
| 1038 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | | Won |
| 1038 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2013-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1022 | 68% | 2013-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1026 | 49% | 2013-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-03-12 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2013-03-07 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1133 | 52% | 2012-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1169 | 30% | 2012-10-28 | | Won |
| 974 | 1059 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1005 | 61% | | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1012 has a 55.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).