The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (42 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 70
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 966 | 42% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 905 | 1044 | 31% | 2025-05-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1187 | 46% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2024-07-15 | Lost |
| 912 | 986 | 40% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 1192 | 1244 | 43% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 946 | 70% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1192 | 747 | 93% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1192 | 747 | 93% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 953 | 1162 | 23% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1100 | 45% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1074 | 46% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1062 | 1111 | 43% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 914 | 63% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1110 | 45% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1108 | 74% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 1060 | 56% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 920 | 69% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1037 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1081 | 1037 | 56% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2013-08-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
| 905 | 916 | 48% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 1009 | 57% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1060 | 57% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1037 | 47% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1005 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1016 has a 55.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).