The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (49 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 71
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 77
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2025-12-17 | A | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2025-06-15 | | Lost |
| 966 | 982 | 48% | 2025-05-30 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1080 | 42% | 2025-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2025-04-28 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2025-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1186 | 34% | 2024-07-15 | | Lost |
| 901 | 959 | 42% | 2024-03-15 | | Won |
| 1245 | 1000 | 80% | 2024-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2024-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1179 | 949 | 79% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1245 | 732 | 95% | 2021-07-19 | | Won |
| 1245 | 732 | 95% | 2021-07-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2021-06-21 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1126 | 26% | 2021-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2021-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1170 | 37% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1127 | 37% | 2020-04-29 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1159 | 20% | 2020-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-02-20 | | Won |
| 992 | 925 | 60% | 2018-12-10 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1134 | 39% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2016-03-22 | | Won |
| 1176 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-05 | | Won |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1147 | 49% | 2014-10-09 | | Won |
| 962 | 1005 | 44% | 2014-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 896 | 69% | 2014-05-03 | | Won |
| 1038 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | | Won |
| 1038 | 917 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2013-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1031 | 70% | 2013-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1026 | 51% | 2013-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-03-12 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2013-03-07 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1147 | 48% | 2012-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1201 | 27% | 2012-10-28 | | Won |
| 986 | 1078 | 37% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1005 | 61% | | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1010.4 has a 56.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).