Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American / FFI): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 924 | 66% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1042 | 72% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1073 | 69% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1120 | 49% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 945 | 993 | 43% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1072 | 58% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1048 | 41% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1115 | 1213 | 36% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1131 | 52% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 885 | 79% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 890 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1176 | 1127 | 57% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 982 | 48% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 883 | 1140 | 19% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1098 | 54% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1072 | 39% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1144 | 35% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 983 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1059 | 948 | 65% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1238 | 1049 | 75% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1017 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1044.3 has a 54.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).