Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1071 | 49% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1051 | 58% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1122 | 56% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 999 | 1027 | 46% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1277 | 32% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1061 | 40% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1220 | 21% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1143 | 68% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 890 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1186 | 1111 | 61% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 882 | 1152 | 17% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1099 | 53% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1277 | 20% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 982 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1118 | 987 | 68% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 1029 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1067.6 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).