Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American / FFI): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
969 | 948 | 53% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
1144 | 1049 | 63% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
1083 | 992 | 63% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
1045 | 1160 | 34% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
1002 | 887 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
1181 | 1105 | 61% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
994 | 1049 | 42% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
1032 | 984 | 57% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
986 | 973 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
1108 | 1059 | 57% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1013.1 has a 55.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).