Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American / FFI): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1070 | 60% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1139 | 60% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1123 | 54% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 994 | 990 | 51% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1115 | 52% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1056 | 40% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1002 | 1256 | 19% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1131 | 52% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 996 | 51% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 890 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1112 | 56% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 982 | 48% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 882 | 1152 | 17% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1099 | 53% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1115 | 34% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1144 | 35% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 982 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 1049 | 50% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1165 | 1014 | 70% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1065.6 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).