Bienen Burnout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 780 | 89% | 2025-08-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2021-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2015-05-03 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2014-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2014-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-03-10 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1099 | 31% | 2013-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2013-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2013-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2012-12-29 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1169 | 30% | 2012-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1036.7 has a 53.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).