Bienen Burnout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 16
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 780 | 90% | 2025-08-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2021-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 962 | 56% | 2015-05-03 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2014-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2014-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-03-10 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1099 | 31% | 2013-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2013-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2013-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2012-12-29 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2012-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.1 vs 1039.2 has a 53.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).