The Land of Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 974 | 57% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 980 | 56% | 2022-11-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1264 | 39% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 983 | 48% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 933 | 1146 | 23% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1099 | 53% | 2018-04-21 | Won |
| 960 | 1055 | 37% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2013-05-17 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1085.3 has a 45.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).