Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2025-07-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1218 | 979 | 80% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1039 | 44% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1007 | 60% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1198 | 1217 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1117 | 861 | 81% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1019 | 44% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1298 | 24% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2015-04-22 | Won |
| 1107 | 1098 | 51% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 1147 | 39% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1072 | 61% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1046 | 68% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 1006 | 53% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 919 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 1154 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 923 | 85% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1092.1 vs 1032.6 has a 58.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).