Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1225 | 987 | 80% | 2025-07-22 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1218 | 952 | 82% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 998 | 1039 | 44% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1217 | 44% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1113 | 1217 | 35% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1129 | 862 | 82% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1027 | 43% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1300 | 30% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1075 | 42% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2015-04-22 | Won |
| 1107 | 1099 | 51% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1033 | 38% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1146 | 34% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1030 | 66% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1043 | 62% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 968 | 1039 | 40% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 906 | 72% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1097 | 68% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1120 | 1153 | 45% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1038 | 85% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1038 | 85% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1093.2 vs 1038.4 has a 57.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).