Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 1041 | 78% | 2025-07-22 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1041 | 69% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1193 | 1219 | 46% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 861 | 76% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1030 | 43% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1301 | 24% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1063 | 979 | 62% | 2015-04-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1038 | 37% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1092 | 1147 | 42% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1092 | 58% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1046 | 61% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 1028 | 53% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1067 | 919 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1145 | 802 | 88% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1106 | 1138 | 45% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 949 | 82% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1036.3 has a 56.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).