Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1207 | 1010 | 76% | 2025-07-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1218 | 973 | 80% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 972 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 1012 | 51% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1007 | 60% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1184 | 1217 | 45% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1098 | 861 | 80% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1019 | 44% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1299 | 22% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1075 | 50% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2015-04-22 | Won |
| 1108 | 1098 | 51% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1039 | 37% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 1147 | 39% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1072 | 61% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1046 | 68% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1020 | 54% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 919 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 1154 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1076 | 69% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1090.3 vs 1039.2 has a 57.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).