Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2025-07-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1027 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 959 | 989 | 46% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 1044 | 1039 | 51% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1162 | 1219 | 42% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1196 | 1219 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 861 | 76% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1030 | 43% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1301 | 24% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1078 | 48% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1050 | 979 | 60% | 2015-04-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1038 | 37% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1098 | 1146 | 43% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1098 | 57% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1047 | 61% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1052 | 1028 | 53% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 920 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1158 | 954 | 76% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1137 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 956 | 82% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1083.7 vs 1041 has a 56.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).