Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1053 | 41% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1137 | 63% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 951 | 1037 | 38% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1159 | 1219 | 41% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1222 | 1219 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1039 | 976 | 59% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 861 | 74% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1053 | 39% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 921 | 75% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1099 | 49% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 947 | 1015 | 40% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1147 | 1083 | 59% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1147 | 41% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1061 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 918 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1201 | 970 | 79% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1137 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 1138 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 980 | 80% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1074.2 vs 1042.8 has a 54.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).