The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (15 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 32
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 869 | 78% | 2025-02-19 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1226 | 19% | 2023-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2022-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-07-17 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1176 | 26% | 2017-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1245 | 40% | 2015-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-03-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2015-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 891 | 76% | 2014-10-09 | | Won |
| 1226 | 967 | 82% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 976 | 61% | 2013-06-21 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-05-18 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-04-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1037.3 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).