The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (25 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 1016 | 76% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 946 | 60% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1277 | 868 | 91% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 909 | 1062 | 29% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1044 | 73% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1186 | 985 | 76% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 1079 | 44% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 987 | 779 | 77% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1039 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 940 | 948 | 49% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1206 | 38% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 956 | 1036 | 39% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1099 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 968 | 1090 | 33% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1036.7 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).