The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (25 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 1037 | 78% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 968 | 60% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 902 | 868 | 55% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 971 | 1029 | 42% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1044 | 77% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1139 | 985 | 71% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 963 | 779 | 74% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1130 | 23% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1039 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 924 | 1021 | 36% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1207 | 29% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 956 | 1028 | 40% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1099 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 927 | 940 | 48% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 968 | 1104 | 31% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1026.5 vs 1037.4 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).