The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 960 | 58% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 959 | 868 | 63% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 903 | 1042 | 31% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1055 | 47% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 1031 | 41% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1044 | 77% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1248 | 985 | 82% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1036 | 1084 | 43% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1019 | 786 | 79% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1043 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1075 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 958 | 949 | 51% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1140 | 940 | 76% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 957 | 1036 | 39% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1100 | 48% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 952 | 940 | 52% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1117 | 30% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1023.3 has a 54.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).