The Rag Tag Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2022-05-17 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1041 | 60% | 2019-07-16 | | Won |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2016-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2014-06-21 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-10-05 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1085.8 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).