The Rag Tag Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (3 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
1115 | 1028 | 62% | 2019-07-16 | Won |
973 | 1006 | 45% | 2016-05-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1027.7 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).