Fuhrer's Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (4 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2018-04-01 | Lost |
1063 | 1033 | 54% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
1307 | 992 | 86% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1160.3 vs 1059.3 has a 64.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).