Cibik's Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2026-04-13 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-03-10 | | Won |
| 1240 | 1000 | 80% | 2024-11-10 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1146 | 48% | 2018-03-13 | | Won |
| 992 | 1075 | 38% | 2016-12-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2015-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2015-09-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2015-01-01 | | Won |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-01-18 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1134 | 37% | 2014-01-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1049 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).