Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (20 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 873 | 76% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1044 | 1180 | 31% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 892 | 1218 | 13% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1088 | 44% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1046 | 71% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1121 | 46% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1118 | 64% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 999 | 958 | 56% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1232 | 17% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1015 | 947 | 60% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 1232 | 21% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1218 | 28% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 976 | 59% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 889 | 69% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1063.6 has a 46.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).