Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2025-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 953 | 1086 | 32% | 2023-10-26 | A | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-03-30 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2020-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2020-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2018-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-07-10 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2017-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2016-10-25 | | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1039 | 51% | 2014-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1291 | 16% | 2014-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1291 | 25% | 2014-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1134 | 39% | 2013-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-11-16 | | Won |
| 1049 | 891 | 71% | 2013-09-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1050.4 has a 49.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).