Road Warriors
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2019-11-20 | Won |
| 1176 | 999 | 73% | 2019-11-01 | Won |
| 1104 | 999 | 65% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1111 | 1098 | 52% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1105 | 1089 | 52% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 1055 | 60% | 2016-10-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 1221 | 20% | 2016-03-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-05-28 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1004 | 67% | 2014-03-09 | Lost |
| 1125 | 902 | 78% | 2013-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1122.7 vs 1048.4 has a 60.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).