Road Warriors
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (13 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2019-11-20 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2019-11-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 954 | 70% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1104 | 39% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1097 | 1080 | 52% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1264 | 1003 | 82% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 1264 | 32% | 2017-03-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1117 | 51% | 2016-10-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2016-03-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-05-28 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1003 | 67% | 2014-03-09 | Lost |
| 1222 | 884 | 87% | 2013-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1131.9 vs 1062.9 has a 59.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).