Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (18 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 48
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 991 | 45% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1072 | 27% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1081 | 1007 | 60% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 975 | 66% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1126 | 55% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1114 | 30% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1101 | 60% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 955 | 74% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1211 | 40% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1101 | 49% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1108 | 33% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2014-07-23 | Won |
| 818 | 879 | 41% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1070.2 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).