Milling About
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (45 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 79
Defender wins (British): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1182 | 49% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 747 | 1192 | 7% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1320 | 1041 | 83% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1192 | 747 | 93% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 1143 | 1143 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 975 | 1163 | 25% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1196 | 26% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 925 | 1215 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 925 | 1215 | 16% | 2018-05-27 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 968 | 1152 | 26% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 965 | 56% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2016-07-25 | Won |
| 1057 | 1008 | 57% | 2016-05-02 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 961 | 1067 | 35% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 881 | 72% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1050 | 1054 | 49% | 2015-01-25 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2014-11-18 | Won |
| 1145 | 1036 | 65% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2014-08-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2014-07-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 1040 | 32% | 2014-07-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1194 | 29% | 2014-07-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 906 | 68% | 2014-07-03 | Won |
| 1146 | 1052 | 63% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1036 | 68% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1036 | 1120 | 38% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2014-05-09 | Won |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2014-04-24 | Won |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1036 | 39% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 913 | 998 | 38% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1060 | 62% | 2014-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1050.2 has a 50.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).