Forcing the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 1029 | 70% | 2022-12-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1161 | 32% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 984 | 1055 | 40% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1081.7 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).