Behind in the Count
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (16 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 948 | 63% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 931 | 896 | 55% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1089 | 975 | 66% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1264 | 19% | 2021-12-24 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
| 1264 | 1017 | 81% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 977 | 1152 | 27% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 984 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1089 | 975 | 66% | 2018-06-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1017 | 69% | 2015-01-03 | Lost |
| 991 | 949 | 56% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
| 938 | 1264 | 13% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1061 | 890 | 73% | 2014-11-26 | Won |
| 1226 | 974 | 81% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1015.8 has a 54.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).