Behind in the Count
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (16 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 39
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1005 | 42% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 950 | 886 | 59% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1192 | 24% | 2021-12-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
| 1192 | 992 | 76% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 977 | 1152 | 27% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 984 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 846 | 852 | 49% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2018-06-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2015-01-03 | Lost |
| 991 | 949 | 56% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
| 939 | 1192 | 19% | 2014-11-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 890 | 73% | 2014-11-26 | Won |
| 1223 | 974 | 81% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.8 vs 1012.8 has a 52.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).