Behind in the Count
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (16 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2025-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2025-01-23 | A | Lost |
| 996 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2021-12-21 | | Won |
| 1217 | 996 | 78% | 2021-12-09 | | Won |
| 977 | 1141 | 28% | 2020-10-21 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2018-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2018-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-01-03 | | Lost |
| 991 | 948 | 56% | 2014-12-29 | | Won |
| 939 | 1217 | 17% | 2014-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 891 | 81% | 2014-11-26 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1014 | 77% | 2014-10-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1010.7 has a 57.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).