Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1104 | 1000 | 65% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 870 | 78% | 2014-09-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1009.4 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).