Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (15 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1090 | 52% | 2024-11-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1159 | 1228 | 40% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1116 | 913 | 76% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1257 | 938 | 86% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1036 | 49% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1248 | 38% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1086 | 920 | 72% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 920 | 72% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 967 | 889 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1110.2 vs 1049.5 has a 58.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).