Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1228 | 38% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 914 | 70% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1192 | 938 | 81% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1036 | 49% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1196 | 45% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 967 | 890 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2014-09-24 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1105.9 vs 1030.9 has a 60.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).