Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (12 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
1156 | 1254 | 36% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
1160 | 938 | 78% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
1033 | 1063 | 46% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
1037 | 994 | 56% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1037 | 994 | 56% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
967 | 887 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1085.5 vs 1071.4 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).