The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1096 | 58% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1151 | 1190 | 44% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
| 1416 | 968 | 93% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1158.8 vs 1099.1 has a 58.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).