The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1094 | 54% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 994 | 1010 | 48% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1139 | 1168 | 46% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 965 | 1045 | 39% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1175 | 53% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
| 1400 | 979 | 92% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1144.4 vs 1114.6 has a 54.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).