The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1156 | 1094 | 59% | 2023-11-10 | Tied |
1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
965 | 1039 | 40% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
1158 | 764 | 91% | 2015-03-01 | Won |
1413 | 968 | 93% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1155.5 vs 1067.4 has a 62.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).