Galician Persuasion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (15 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/Hungarian): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1040 | 60% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1251 | 1210 | 56% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1156 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 762 | 1029 | 18% | 2020-07-15 | Lost |
| 928 | 1099 | 27% | 2020-02-23 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2019-09-02 | Won |
| 1145 | 1203 | 42% | 2019-07-24 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2019-02-20 | Lost |
| 968 | 1152 | 26% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1041 | 64% | 2018-05-18 | Won |
| 1142 | 996 | 70% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2016-09-07 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1210 | 39% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1190 | 46% | 2015-04-01 | Lost |
| 985 | 1009 | 47% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.9 vs 1088.6 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).