Hammer Time
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (17 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Belgian / French): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1026 | 70% | 2026-03-25 | Won |
| 1195 | 1220 | 46% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1040 | 60% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1099 | 967 | 68% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2017-10-29 | Won |
| 1075 | 1220 | 30% | 2017-09-02 | Won |
| 1178 | 1005 | 73% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
| 1137 | 1159 | 47% | 2016-01-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 1060 | 40% | 2016-01-25 | Won |
| 998 | 1133 | 31% | 2015-12-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 997 | 47% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 989 | 952 | 55% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 974 | 58% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1037 | 73% | 2015-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1105.1 vs 1064 has a 55.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).