To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (18 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2026-03-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-10-11 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2022-11-05 | | Won |
| 920 | 1076 | 29% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-08-07 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1132 | 33% | 2020-08-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2018-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1219 | 26% | 2018-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-12-05 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2015-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2015-08-15 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1011 | 44% | 2015-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2015-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2015-05-04 | | Won |
| 1133 | 955 | 74% | 2015-04-13 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1185 | 35% | 2014-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 1084.5 has a 40.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).