To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (16 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 930 | 1028 | 36% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1176 | 44% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1063 | 1135 | 40% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 1135 | 40% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 1127 | 63% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1328 | 21% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1177 | 891 | 84% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1043 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1152 | 54% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 877 | 1052 | 27% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 955 | 65% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1057 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1078.3 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).