To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1072 | 48% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 930 | 1048 | 34% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1176 | 42% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1122 | 49% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 1122 | 49% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 1128 | 62% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 980 | 77% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1046 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1151 | 54% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 877 | 1074 | 24% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 955 | 65% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1102 | 1111 | 49% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1057 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1085.9 vs 1089.2 has a 49.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).