To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 930 | 1036 | 35% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 1157 | 58% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1046 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 879 | 1089 | 23% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 899 | 952 | 42% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 955 | 64% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1081 | 1136 | 42% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1058 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1081.5 has a 48.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).