Out Of Their Element
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (21 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1158 | 52% | 2026-04-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1028 | 49% | 2026-04-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1052 | 42% | 2026-02-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 989 | 70% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1159 | 966 | 75% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 993 | 51% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1029 | 54% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1347 | 1135 | 77% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 940 | 1119 | 26% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1038 | 64% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 890 | 942 | 43% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1347 | 16% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1121 | 55% | 2014-12-11 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1064 | 73% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2014-11-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1135 | 43% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 960 | 74% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 1048 | 55% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.6 vs 1057.8 has a 54.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).