Out Of Their Element
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 989 | 70% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1159 | 965 | 75% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 1065 | 1006 | 58% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2018-08-04 | Won |
| 1342 | 1098 | 80% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 940 | 1093 | 29% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1035 | 59% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 891 | 942 | 43% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1342 | 17% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1088 | 60% | 2014-12-11 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1071 | 74% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1071 | 48% | 2014-11-04 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1098 | 46% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 958 | 74% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1081 | 1035 | 57% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1100.5 vs 1053.7 has a 56.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).