Out Of Their Element
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (21 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2026-04-18 | | Lost |
| 978 | 996 | 47% | 2026-04-17 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 989 | 69% | 2025-04-06 | | Won |
| 1196 | 966 | 79% | 2025-04-05 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1012 | 53% | 2021-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2018-08-04 | | Won |
| 1352 | 1133 | 78% | 2016-05-21 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2016-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2015-12-06 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1135 | 25% | 2015-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-10-06 | | Lost |
| 891 | 943 | 43% | 2015-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1352 | 14% | 2015-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1121 | 57% | 2014-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1040 | 74% | 2014-11-29 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2014-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2014-10-11 | | Won |
| 1141 | 960 | 74% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1048 | 51% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1040 | 64% | 2012-10-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1051.5 has a 53.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).