Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (30 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 831 | 80% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 991 | 55% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1148 | 32% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1079 | 903 | 73% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1173 | 32% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 1040 | 68% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 922 | 78% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 960 | 1219 | 18% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1154 | 44% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 953 | 1089 | 31% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1167 | 32% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 889 | 1158 | 18% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1219 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1223 | 36% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 1016 | 42% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1021 | 40% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 913 | 1136 | 22% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1148 | 64% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1036 | 57% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1110 | 36% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 861 | 1058 | 24% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1072.1 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).