Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (31 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 756 | 89% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1163 | 39% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1174 | 28% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1013 | 72% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1186 | 888 | 85% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 969 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1024 | 43% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1217 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 891 | 1176 | 16% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1166 | 31% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1226 | 44% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 972 | 49% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 875 | 1173 | 15% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1147 | 58% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1253 | 968 | 84% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1255 | 980 | 83% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1123 | 34% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 861 | 1117 | 19% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1050.4 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).