Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (31 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 707 | 82% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1161 | 40% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 964 | 74% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 954 | 1175 | 22% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1175 | 954 | 78% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1188 | 900 | 84% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1083 | 34% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1108 | 48% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 969 | 51% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1217 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 890 | 1204 | 14% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1166 | 34% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1226 | 44% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1085 | 973 | 66% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 1018 | 42% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 875 | 1127 | 19% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1149 | 45% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1251 | 969 | 84% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1051 | 49% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1215 | 1098 | 66% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 862 | 1129 | 18% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1052.4 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).