Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (31 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 57
Defender wins (German): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 755 | 89% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1163 | 37% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 950 | 66% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1173 | 30% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 1028 | 70% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 895 | 81% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 962 | 1138 | 27% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1029 | 43% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1216 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 890 | 1133 | 20% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1164 | 32% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 994 | 46% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 975 | 1022 | 43% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 881 | 1174 | 16% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1147 | 57% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1340 | 968 | 89% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 1100 | 39% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1122 | 34% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 861 | 1100 | 20% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1051.7 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).