Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (31 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 692 | 85% | 2023-07-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2022-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-09-22 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1160 | 40% | 2020-11-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2020-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 966 | 73% | 2020-06-20 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-04-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 901 | 85% | 2019-12-26 | | Won |
| 970 | 1085 | 34% | 2018-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1126 | 46% | 2017-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-10-11 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1218 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | | Won |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1226 | 44% | 2015-10-06 | | Won |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2015-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1037 | 66% | 2015-07-24 | | Lost |
| 875 | 1100 | 21% | 2015-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-06-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2015-05-09 | | Won |
| 1081 | 1147 | 41% | 2015-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2015-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2015-01-20 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2014-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2014-11-16 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1147 | 16% | 2014-11-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1032.1 has a 53.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).