Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (31 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1183 | 25% | 2026-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1187 | 40% | 2026-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2025-03-03 | | Won |
| 1069 | 940 | 68% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-05-31 | A | Won |
| 967 | 1315 | 12% | 2024-03-26 | | Lost |
| 990 | 1080 | 37% | 2023-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-12-11 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-12-14 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1154 | 28% | 2019-06-29 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2019-03-16 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2017-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-04-18 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2017-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | | Tied |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2016-07-09 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-01-21 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1145 | 19% | 2015-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2015-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2015-08-21 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-07-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-05-08 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1219 | 36% | 2015-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2015-04-14 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2015-02-26 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1154 | 59% | 2014-11-11 | | Won |
| 1118 | 1141 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1082 vs 1057.9 has a 53.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).