Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (26 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 56
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1225 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1165 | 966 | 76% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1069 | 992 | 61% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 937 | 1307 | 11% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 978 | 1029 | 43% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1085 | 68% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 929 | 65% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 944 | 1037 | 37% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 1088 | 68% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1082 | 1094 | 48% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 889 | 1126 | 20% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 940 | 1114 | 27% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1282 | 929 | 88% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1073 | 1316 | 20% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1314 | 50% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1114 | 1146 | 45% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1407 | 1280 | 68% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 957 | 74% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1106.3 vs 1078.3 has a 54.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).