Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (30 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1151 | 48% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1036 | 76% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1063 | 913 | 70% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 995 | 994 | 50% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 919 | 1306 | 10% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 1031 | 44% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1087 | 63% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 905 | 75% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1176 | 1073 | 64% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1093 | 55% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1113 | 851 | 82% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1042 | 1099 | 42% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 1093 | 55% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 890 | 1125 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1059 | 71% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1186 | 930 | 81% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1252 | 1316 | 41% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1102 | 1252 | 30% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1136 | 39% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1424 | 1281 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 905 | 84% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1140 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1110.8 vs 1065.4 has a 56.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).