Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (30 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1163 | 46% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1035 | 73% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1002 | 994 | 51% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 888 | 1306 | 8% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 1029 | 44% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1087 | 60% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 984 | 58% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 909 | 1037 | 32% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 1073 | 62% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1099 | 38% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2016-01-21 | Lost |
| 890 | 1129 | 20% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1040 | 73% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1220 | 930 | 84% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1238 | 1318 | 39% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1120 | 1238 | 34% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1136 | 37% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1024 | 65% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1430 | 1290 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1213 | 1002 | 77% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1141 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1103.6 vs 1066 has a 55.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).