Show of Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (28 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1184 | 1036 | 70% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 890 | 76% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 993 | 53% | 2024-05-31 | Won |
| 927 | 1302 | 10% | 2024-03-26 | Lost |
| 978 | 1031 | 42% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1086 | 66% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 950 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 947 | 68% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 954 | 1037 | 38% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1085 | 66% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 929 | 74% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1164 | 853 | 86% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2016-08-23 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1098 | 44% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 929 | 74% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1073 | 69% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 731 | 91% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1194 | 929 | 82% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1340 | 1315 | 54% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1074 | 1340 | 18% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1141 | 40% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1020 | 61% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 1419 | 1282 | 69% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1143 | 947 | 76% | 2014-11-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 1140 | 52% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1105.5 vs 1050.3 has a 57.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).