Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (30 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (Japanese): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1008 | 74% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 917 | 886 | 54% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1036 | 73% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1048 | 58% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1064 | 30% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 1044 | 37% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 961 | 1143 | 26% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 941 | 63% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1133 | 1192 | 42% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 1110 | 21% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1061 | 30% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 965 | 76% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1196 | 1086 | 65% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 879 | 961 | 38% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 998 | 62% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1036 | 53% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1182 | 961 | 78% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 961 | 74% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1137 | 1067 | 60% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1032.9 has a 51.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).