Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (30 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (Japanese): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1249 | 1027 | 78% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 917 | 869 | 57% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 955 | 1010 | 42% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1013 | 64% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1074 | 29% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 958 | 1083 | 33% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1113 | 37% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1020 | 47% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1170 | 1249 | 39% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 916 | 1047 | 32% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1090 | 981 | 65% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1196 | 1086 | 65% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 879 | 1024 | 30% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 898 | 77% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1049 | 1010 | 56% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1206 | 1024 | 74% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1024 | 63% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1040.2 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).