Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1213 | 1222 | 49% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 926 | 918 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1060 | 56% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1185 | 1096 | 63% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1058 | 1127 | 40% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1065.8 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).