Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1226 | 43% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 956 | 49% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1245 | 956 | 84% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1117 | 47% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1264 | 1108 | 71% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1083.7 vs 1077.7 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).