Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1227 | 33% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 981 | 45% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1146 | 43% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1263 | 1107 | 71% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1092.3 vs 1077.5 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).