Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 1049 | 73% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 946 | 1066 | 33% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 925 | 917 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1038 | 59% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1191 | 1094 | 64% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1078.2 vs 1057 has a 53.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).