Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1215 | 39% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 949 | 902 | 57% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 926 | 918 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1065 | 55% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1184 | 1108 | 61% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1087.8 vs 1044.8 has a 56.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).