Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (Finnish): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1225 | 45% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 978 | 46% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 998 | 1028 | 46% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1206 | 978 | 79% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 930 | 922 | 51% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1078 | 53% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1185 | 1109 | 61% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1091.7 vs 1083.8 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).