Night Fans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2024-04-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1194 | 49% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1064.3 has a 50.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).