Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1187 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 899 | 57% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1013 | 80% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1190 | 46% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1161 | 890 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 898 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1190 | 39% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1102 | 1133 | 46% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 927 | 875 | 57% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1151 | 36% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1041 | 64% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2015-05-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1034 | 38% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1060.3 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).