Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 39
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1187 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 909 | 899 | 51% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1268 | 949 | 86% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 949 | 77% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1163 | 890 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 949 | 75% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 998 | 876 | 67% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1151 | 36% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1041 | 53% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2015-05-29 | Lost |
| 909 | 1034 | 33% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1026.6 has a 51.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).