Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1181 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 903 | 899 | 51% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 889 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 896 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 952 | 877 | 61% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1145 | 42% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1040 | 61% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 903 | 1039 | 31% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1018.3 has a 56.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).