Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1010 | 53% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1180 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 913 | 900 | 52% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1232 | 999 | 79% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1161 | 889 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 896 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1061 | 69% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1083 | 1132 | 43% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 980 | 877 | 64% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1145 | 38% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1040 | 53% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 913 | 1041 | 32% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1035.4 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).