Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1139 | 40% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
| 984 | 1186 | 24% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 931 | 63% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
| 1256 | 913 | 88% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1045 | 75% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2018-10-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 890 | 83% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
| 898 | 958 | 41% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1045 | 62% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
| 887 | 876 | 52% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1155 | 29% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1041 | 50% | 2015-05-31 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2015-05-29 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1037 | 48% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1035.9 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).