Father Sunshine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (12 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1109 | 1090 | 53% | 2023-06-08 | Lost |
984 | 1179 | 25% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
1013 | 1022 | 49% | 2021-04-17 | Lost |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1076 | 887 | 75% | 2016-04-02 | Lost |
895 | 977 | 38% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2015-11-14 | Won |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2015-10-21 | Won |
977 | 877 | 64% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
1087 | 1024 | 59% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
1013 | 1128 | 34% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1061.1 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).