Don’t Count Your Chickens
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2025-06-19 | Lost |
| 934 | 927 | 51% | 2019-04-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1062 | 63% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 998.7 vs 971.3 has a 53.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).