Don’t Count Your Chickens
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 925 | 925 | 50% | 2025-06-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 927 | 72% | 2019-04-04 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1062 | 62% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 971.3 has a 61.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).