Helluva Patrol Leader
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 152 (38 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 68
Defender wins (German): 83
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1324 | 1045 | 83% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2022-05-13 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-04-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 967 | 63% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2021-10-05 | Lost |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 947 | 63% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1031 | 49% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2019-02-13 | Won |
| 925 | 1107 | 26% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 917 | 67% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 925 | 972 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 916 | 967 | 43% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1082 | 1010 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 912 | 998 | 38% | 2016-10-16 | Won |
| 927 | 897 | 54% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 969 | 1234 | 18% | 2016-06-10 | Won |
| 902 | 1221 | 14% | 2016-05-24 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 2016-04-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1170 | 34% | 2016-01-01 | Won |
| 1192 | 1059 | 68% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 2015-12-15 | Won |
| 914 | 1058 | 30% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1243 | 30% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1103 | 66% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 982 | 80% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 917 | 1152 | 21% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1060 | 63% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2015-09-16 | Won |
| 1039 | 1085 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1052 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).