Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (25 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Belgian): 63
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 990 | 78% | 2026-09-22 | | Won |
| 928 | 790 | 69% | 2026-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1161 | 72% | 2026-01-25 | D | Won |
| 1098 | 981 | 66% | 2025-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-11-01 | | Lost |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2025-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1035 | 58% | 2025-03-01 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-11-07 | | Won |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2024-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 978 | 56% | 2022-10-17 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1019 | 44% | 2022-10-10 | | Won |
| 780 | 963 | 26% | 2021-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2021-02-19 | | Lost |
| 967 | 996 | 46% | 2020-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1080 | 42% | 2019-08-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2016-11-24 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1133 | 62% | 2016-11-23 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-09-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-02-28 | | Won |
| 926 | 1028 | 36% | 2015-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-10-30 | | Lost |
| 913 | 1025 | 34% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2015-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 944 | 83% | 2015-04-01 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1012.7 has a 53.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).