Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (18 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (Belgian): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 949 | 1113 | 28% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 766 | 1032 | 18% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 870 | 65% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 899 | 1061 | 28% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 995 | 1037 | 44% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1221 | 1166 | 58% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1221 | 1213 | 51% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 967 | 1127 | 28% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1202 | 43% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 926 | 1018 | 37% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 914 | 1058 | 30% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1313 | 942 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1013.5 vs 1066.7 has a 42.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).