Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (16 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Belgian): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1018 | 55% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1055 | 45% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 767 | 956 | 25% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 856 | 66% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 928 | 1061 | 32% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1036 | 46% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1154 | 59% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 1248 | 46% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 949 | 1125 | 27% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 931 | 1019 | 38% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 1116 | 24% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1310 | 942 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1025.2 vs 1050.3 has a 46.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).