Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (20 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Belgian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 960 | 60% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 951 | 953 | 50% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 837 | 1085 | 19% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 944 | 937 | 51% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 891 | 1020 | 32% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1064 | 52% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1081 | 1057 | 53% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 955 | 1085 | 32% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1220 | 1210 | 51% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 927 | 1012 | 38% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1012 | 59% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 914 | 1086 | 27% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 725 | 1220 | 5% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1177 | 943 | 79% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 990.4 vs 1034.9 has a 43.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).