Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (23 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Belgian): 45
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1303 | 1134 | 73% | 2026-01-25 | Won |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1006 | 51% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2025-09-22 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1020 | 60% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 969 | 1114 | 30% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 999 | 1014 | 48% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 780 | 982 | 24% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 941 | 55% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 904 | 1058 | 29% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1045 | 46% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1217 | 1204 | 52% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 992 | 1127 | 31% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1211 | 40% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 927 | 1007 | 39% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 1041 | 32% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1253 | 942 | 86% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1045.2 has a 47.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).