First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (14 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 27
Defender wins (Slovakian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 904 | 79% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 992 | 52% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1038 | 61% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 967 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 931 | 1058 | 32% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1219 | 18% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1154 | 1096 | 58% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 1036 | 46% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 964 | 60% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1026.7 has a 52.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).