First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 26
Defender wins (Slovakian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1144 | 914 | 79% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
950 | 991 | 44% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
1076 | 1034 | 56% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
967 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
931 | 989 | 42% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
987 | 1109 | 33% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
1095 | 1096 | 50% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
1007 | 1083 | 39% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1083 | 959 | 67% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1009.6 vs 1006.4 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).