First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 30
Defender wins (Slovakian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1131 | 904 | 79% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 947 | 992 | 44% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 1056 | 60% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 1152 | 46% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 947 | 75% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 927 | 1065 | 31% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 1198 | 20% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 979 | 62% | 2016-02-29 | Won |
| 979 | 1063 | 38% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 1162 | 1100 | 59% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1008 | 1028 | 47% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 995 | 60% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 957 | 60% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1029.9 has a 51.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).