The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 990 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 1249 | 1229 | 53% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 991 | 878 | 66% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1102 | 969 | 68% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 1059 | 49% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1103 | 901 | 76% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1029 has a 54.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).