The Katanas Come Out at Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
| 949 | 1190 | 20% | 2023-08-09 | Tied |
| 1190 | 879 | 86% | 2021-09-02 | Tied |
| 1203 | 960 | 80% | 2017-07-25 | Won |
| 999 | 1106 | 35% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-08-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1057 | 50% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2016-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1044.2 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).