A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (16 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1110 | 963 | 70% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1177 | 972 | 76% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 898 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1014 | 83% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1275 | 40% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1182 | 1152 | 54% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1052 | 996 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1060 | 33% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 890 | 76% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1107 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1038.5 has a 56.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).