A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (British): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
1106 | 952 | 71% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
1063 | 981 | 62% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
896 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
1088 | 910 | 74% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1290 | 1025 | 82% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1203 | 1193 | 51% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1061 | 1014 | 57% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
973 | 1223 | 19% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
925 | 1038 | 34% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1085 | 889 | 76% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1109 | 1110 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1121 | 980 | 69% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1086.8 vs 1023.3 has a 59.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).