Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (28 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (American): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 951 | 53% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1221 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 1211 | 35% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1270 | 1128 | 69% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 739 | 1270 | 4% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 930 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1178 | 1171 | 51% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 971 | 1178 | 23% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1178 | 858 | 86% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1023 | 46% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1195 | 805 | 90% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 952 | 72% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1333 | 983 | 88% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1093 | 1098 | 49% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1013 | 1030 | 48% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 968 | 1051 | 38% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1221 | 982 | 80% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 1219 | 40% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 996 | 1143 | 30% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1002 | 65% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1054.9 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).