Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (29 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1226 | 1147 | 61% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 755 | 1226 | 6% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 932 | 71% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1164 | 1171 | 49% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1164 | 25% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 851 | 86% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1114 | 952 | 72% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1081 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1274 | 983 | 84% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1103 | 46% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 959 | 1249 | 16% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 1045 | 39% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 991 | 68% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 1218 | 39% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1176 | 28% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1126 | 46% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1054 | 58% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1069.9 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).