Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (29 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 1055 | 57% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1184 | 1138 | 57% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 734 | 1184 | 7% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 920 | 79% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 1082 | 47% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 1202 | 39% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 966 | 1099 | 32% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 969 | 54% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1176 | 734 | 93% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1134 | 961 | 73% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1029 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 983 | 80% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 994 | 55% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 995 | 57% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 987 | 1084 | 36% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 734 | 88% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 1184 | 44% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1187 | 29% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1126 | 53% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1060 | 60% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1041.1 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).