Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (24 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (American): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
1175 | 1090 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
1160 | 1058 | 64% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
969 | 1012 | 44% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
1204 | 1140 | 59% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
985 | 1204 | 22% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
986 | 1026 | 44% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1027 | 1028 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
1307 | 982 | 87% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
949 | 1087 | 31% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
1009 | 1176 | 28% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
1052 | 1063 | 48% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
989 | 1104 | 34% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1079.4 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).