Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (29 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1012 | 49% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1218 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 1054 | 57% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1213 | 1147 | 59% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 754 | 1213 | 7% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 920 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1175 | 41% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 1113 | 31% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 851 | 82% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 992 | 1054 | 41% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 1015 | 47% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1238 | 953 | 84% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1114 | 983 | 68% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1081 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1252 | 983 | 82% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1042 | 1104 | 41% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 953 | 1264 | 14% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 987 | 983 | 51% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 953 | 74% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 1219 | 39% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1190 | 28% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1126 | 49% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1031 | 63% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1077.4 vs 1061.4 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).