Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1139 | 43% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1068 | 49% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 953 | 960 | 49% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1214 | 26% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1219 | 891 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1139 | 43% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 946 | 918 | 54% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1208 | 36% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 897 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1196 | 47% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1135 | 52% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 1112 | 49% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 1049 | 1050 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1051.7 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).