Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (20 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1060 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 1039 | 51% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1018 | 56% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 977 | 964 | 52% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1214 | 26% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1219 | 889 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1196 | 35% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1010 | 72% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 920 | 898 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 952 | 918 | 55% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1289 | 26% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 898 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1181 | 49% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1112 | 46% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 987 | 1118 | 32% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1053.8 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).