Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (19 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1117 | 47% | 2021-06-11 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-03-08 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1074 | 48% | 2020-03-01 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2019-10-27 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-04-06 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1150 | 42% | 2018-12-02 | | Won |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2017-08-01 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2016-09-03 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-08-20 | | Won |
| 1135 | 898 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2016-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1097 | 56% | 2015-12-04 | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2015-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2015-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1040.6 has a 49.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).