Wise's War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (20 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1109 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1024 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1068 | 49% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 954 | 960 | 49% | 2019-10-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1186 | 35% | 2018-12-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-08-06 | Won |
| 946 | 906 | 56% | 2017-08-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 1216 | 35% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 897 | 80% | 2016-08-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1212 | 45% | 2016-03-15 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1103 | 51% | 2015-12-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 1112 | 49% | 2015-11-05 | Won |
| 949 | 1089 | 31% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1052.5 has a 52.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).