Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1095 | 901 | 75% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
1012 | 1095 | 38% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
1087 | 1124 | 45% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
991 | 1273 | 16% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1059.7 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).