Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 931 | 76% | 2018-12-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2018-08-08 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-07-11 | | Won |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2018-06-29 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2016-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 1074 | 876 | 76% | 2015-12-05 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1109.7 vs 969.2 has a 69.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).