Flaming Star
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 930 | 74% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2018-08-08 | Won |
| 1167 | 824 | 88% | 2018-07-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 1125 | 40% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 945 | 1249 | 15% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1213 | 945 | 82% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 882 | 74% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 994.7 has a 64.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).