Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-11-09 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1034 | 63% | 2019-11-07 | | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2019-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2019-06-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2016-10-01 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1035 | 58% | 2016-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1176 | 61% | 2015-11-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1101.1 vs 1060.4 has a 55.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).