Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1076 | 60% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1206 | 41% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1126 | 1034 | 63% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1046 | 977 | 60% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 1030 | 45% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 882 | 1046 | 28% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1092 | 1029 | 59% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1227 | 40% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1078.1 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).