Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1189 | 35% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1203 | 43% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1162 | 991 | 73% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1123 | 46% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 885 | 1051 | 28% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1063 | 54% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1207 | 42% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1097.6 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).