Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1206 | 41% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1121 | 1034 | 62% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 969 | 995 | 46% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 994 | 998 | 49% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 882 | 969 | 38% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1018 | 60% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1237 | 43% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1077 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).