Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1196 | 32% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1203 | 43% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 1051 | 58% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 885 | 1029 | 30% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1047 | 56% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1193 | 43% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1092.5 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).