Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (14 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-01-04 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2024-03-17 | | Won |
| 981 | 938 | 56% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 962 | 950 | 52% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2019-03-10 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1025 | 35% | 2019-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2018-06-15 | | Won |
| 1134 | 907 | 79% | 2018-05-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2016-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-01-04 | | Won |
| 1219 | 988 | 79% | 2015-10-23 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2015-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1050 | 53% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1017.9 has a 57.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).