Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1033 | 63% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1189 | 945 | 80% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 903 | 939 | 45% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 996 | 61% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 949 | 51% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1074 | 39% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1116 | 24% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 885 | 87% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1089 | 44% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1310 | 988 | 86% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1089.7 vs 1031.9 has a 58.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).