Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1230 | 948 | 84% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 964 | 939 | 54% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 996 | 60% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 950 | 52% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1066 | 40% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 906 | 1003 | 36% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1230 | 1038 | 75% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 968 | 62% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1038 | 63% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1231 | 988 | 80% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1231 | 28% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 986 | 62% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1019.3 has a 58.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).