Konrad Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 959 | 78% | 2025-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 912 | 69% | 2025-06-18 | | Won |
| 984 | 1036 | 43% | 2025-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 959 | 78% | 2024-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1020 | 52% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1138 | 47% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-10-06 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-10-06 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2017-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1252 | 990 | 82% | 2016-07-31 | | Won |
| 1176 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1090.7 vs 1028.2 has a 58.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).