Konrad Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 965 | 82% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 913 | 68% | 2025-06-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1036 | 43% | 2025-01-17 | Lost |
| 1108 | 965 | 69% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1143 | 45% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1120 | 1155 | 45% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 951 | 1230 | 17% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1108 | 62% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1084 | 59% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 1160 | 990 | 73% | 2016-07-31 | Won |
| 1227 | 1083 | 70% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1071 | 55% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1098.6 vs 1066.9 has a 54.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).