Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1324 | 1161 | 72% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1161 | 26% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1157 | 35% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1024 | 67% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1005 | 41% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1098 | 45% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 985 | 1313 | 13% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1079 | 25% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1221 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1105.6 has a 39.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).