Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1330 | 1151 | 74% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 983 | 1151 | 28% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1185 | 29% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1024 | 66% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 986 | 43% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1102 | 44% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 985 | 1333 | 12% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 837 | 70% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1079 | 25% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1106.7 has a 39.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).