Matira's Secret
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1261 | 1095 | 72% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
983 | 1095 | 34% | 2018-03-27 | Lost |
1041 | 925 | 66% | 2016-12-01 | Lost |
1197 | 1024 | 73% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
927 | 1027 | 36% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
1060 | 1049 | 52% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
974 | 1307 | 13% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
980 | 840 | 69% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
887 | 1068 | 26% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1071.4 has a 43.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).