Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 269 (47 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 145
Defender wins (German): 123
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 919 | 51% | 2026-09-13 | | Won |
| 1098 | 997 | 64% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2024-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2023-12-10 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1015 | 92% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2021-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-05-13 | | Lost |
| 999 | 977 | 53% | 2021-03-29 | | Won |
| 1121 | 979 | 69% | 2021-01-09 | | Won |
| 957 | 1057 | 36% | 2020-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2019-10-15 | | Won |
| 1068 | 732 | 87% | 2019-05-12 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1120 | 64% | 2019-02-05 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-11-28 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-11-02 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-09-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1051 | 72% | 2018-09-28 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1028 | 58% | 2018-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2018-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2018-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2018-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-06-30 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2017-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1209 | 27% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2017-02-28 | | Won |
| 1055 | 951 | 65% | 2017-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2017-01-31 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2017-01-08 | | Won |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2017-01-05 | | Tied |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2016-12-01 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2016-10-02 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2016-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1258 | 18% | 2016-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2016-06-29 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1132 | 40% | 2016-06-21 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-03-26 | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1075.6 vs 1028 has a 56.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).