Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 268 (46 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 144
Defender wins (German): 123
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 980 | 66% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 895 | 1219 | 13% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 897 | 940 | 44% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1219 | 37% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1434 | 1015 | 92% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 969 | 984 | 48% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 914 | 1102 | 25% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 1016 | 973 | 56% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 979 | 69% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1057 | 36% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1068 | 741 | 87% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1119 | 65% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1226 | 1066 | 72% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1111 | 54% | 2018-09-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1051 | 73% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1028 | 53% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 828 | 1045 | 22% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1071 | 54% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 933 | 60% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1085 | 74% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1209 | 25% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 951 | 63% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1027 | 58% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 977 | 60% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1226 | 994 | 79% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 942 | 1102 | 28% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 1103 | 56% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1103 | 1143 | 44% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1130 | 982 | 70% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1243 | 930 | 86% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1218 | 27% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 893 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 1150 | 37% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 942 | 72% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1081.1 vs 1036.9 has a 56.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).