Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 270 (48 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 145
Defender wins (German): 124
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1020 | 43% | 2026-10-09 | | Lost |
| 927 | 919 | 51% | 2026-09-13 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1012 | 62% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2024-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2023-12-10 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1015 | 92% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2022-06-18 | | Won |
| 872 | 1102 | 21% | 2021-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 949 | 59% | 2021-03-29 | | Won |
| 1121 | 979 | 69% | 2021-01-09 | | Won |
| 957 | 1057 | 36% | 2020-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2019-10-15 | | Won |
| 1068 | 728 | 88% | 2019-05-12 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1139 | 61% | 2019-02-05 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-11-28 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1001 | 69% | 2018-11-02 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-09-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1041 | 74% | 2018-09-28 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1028 | 55% | 2018-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2018-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2018-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2018-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-06-30 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1051 | 59% | 2017-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1209 | 24% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2017-02-28 | | Won |
| 1011 | 951 | 59% | 2017-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2017-01-31 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1027 | 54% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2017-01-08 | | Won |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2017-01-05 | | Tied |
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2016-12-01 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-10-02 | | Won |
| 1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2016-07-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1298 | 15% | 2016-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2016-06-29 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1132 | 40% | 2016-06-21 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2016-03-26 | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1025 has a 56.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).