Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (17 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (Finnish): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1151 | 42% | 2025-07-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1095 | 40% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1156 | 762 | 91% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1093 | 1068 | 54% | 2024-03-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 890 | 873 | 52% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1201 | 22% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 866 | 918 | 43% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1058 | 49% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1152 | 39% | 2016-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1059.6 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).