Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1223 | 776 | 93% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1068 | 57% | 2024-03-27 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 872 | 873 | 50% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1205 | 22% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1089 | 55% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1029 | 58% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.1 vs 1034.8 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).