Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (19 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (Finnish): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1088 | 54% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1088 | 51% | 2025-07-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1095 | 39% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1184 | 780 | 91% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1062 | 1056 | 51% | 2024-03-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 941 | 873 | 60% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 985 | 1201 | 22% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 865 | 904 | 44% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1057 | 54% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1065 | 47% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1140 | 39% | 2016-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1054.1 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).